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Politics : Long Live The Death Penalty!

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To: Bill who wrote (595)1/22/2003 5:44:43 AM
From: Solon   of 828
 
I looked briefly at your cut and paste after the New York restoration of the death penalty. I noticed that virtually all States had dramatically dropped their rates during those particular years regardless of when they had actually re-instituted the penalty. I also noticed there were thousands of cut and pastes which could be done in each State around different combinations of contiguous years--all yielding entirely different results and seemingly moving up or down at random. The only thing I noticed as a consistency was that the 12 Non death penalty States were consistently far lower in rates of homicide.

The studies are clear enough: deterrence is not demonstrated. Indeed, The States with the most executions are shown to be the most risky for homicide especially against law enforcement officers.

Still, I was curious to plug in a few numbers for the fun of it. So I randomly clicked on 6 different States and took their year of reinstatement after Furman. I then took the third year after and calculated to the nearest whole number the percentage increase or decrease. As one would expect, the results went randomly in either direction and showed no consistency or significance.

Mississippi increased by 11%

Colorado decreased by 1%

New York decreased by 40%

S. Dakota increased by 35%

New Jersey decreased by 17%

Idaho increased by 104%


Total increase equaled 150%. Total decrease equaled 58%

If anyone is interested I will do the remaining States over the next few days. However, it is clearly meaningless. Murder is murder. Most of them don't even know whether or not there is a death penalty. And it certainly has no bearing to a murderer's state of mind. Canada dropped the death penalty and homicides went down something like 30%. That doesn't mean that having no death penalty decreases the homicide rate. There is no way to tell. But it certainly prevents innocent people from being executed, and it has saved at least 5 such innocents from being sent to their death in Canada.
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