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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: michael97123 who wrote (68171)	1/23/2003 7:42:52 PM
From: stockman_scott	Read Replies (4) of 281500

<<...trained at the University of Chicago by Hans Morgenthau who was quite prominent in those days--he wrote the text book in Foreign Affairs...>> Mike: Right now the most famous foreign policy guru at the University of Chicago is John J. Mearsheimer (according to tekboy he is very highly regarded)...Here is a passage from an article Mersheimer wrote last fall... 'Realists' Are Not Alone in Opposing War With Iraq ksg.harvard.edu <<...Although the United States would almost certainly win such a war, armed conflict with Iraq would divert resources and attention from the more important task of eliminating the terrorist threat. There is no serious evidence of cooperation between Iraq and Al Qaeda today, but war with Iraq would fuel anti-American sentiments in the Arab and Muslim world, making it easier for bin Laden and his ilk to recruit new martyrs to their cause. War with Iraq could also destabilize the region, and ousting Saddam would force the United States to occupy and police Iraq for many years. Moreover, Iraq does have military options that could impose serious costs. If one is really worried about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, why place Saddam in a situation where he has nothing to lose? In short, an invasion of Iraq is the wrong war in the wrong place at the wrong time. It doesn't take a realist to figure this out, however -- it only takes someone who is sensible, reasonably objective, and focused on the American national interest...>> CAN SADDAM BE CONTAINED...? HISTORY SAYS YES. Here's a link to an excellent 12-page paper that John Mersheimer and Professor Stephen Walt (from Harvard) wrote on whether Saddam can be contained... wcfia.harvard.edu ________________________ Vigilant containment can work. Some of the top foreign policy experts agree that this is possible...It's too bad Bush has surrounded himself with hardline NeoCon WarHawks (like Perle, Cheney, Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz)...Its nice to have a little 'balance' when making decisions that can impact thousands of lives around the world. Unfortunately, I feel it may be very difficult for Colin Powell to have the influence that many of us would like him to have. -s2@toobadBushdoesn'thaveJohnMersheimerasaforeignpolicyadvisor.com

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