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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's

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To: Jeff who wrote (26210)1/25/2003 2:47:18 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) of 30712
 
Jeff, one thing to remember is the Tommy Bear count has a plus/minus 1-month wiggle room. The down from Nov-Jan could now be Dec-Jan-Feb.

Furthermore, the flat counts do not rule out new lower lows, as the Tommy Bear flat from June-Nov. showed. E-wave A-B-C corrections allow the B-wave to drop to a new low. That's what I believe happened in October.

I believe we may have had an A-B-C correction (August "A", October "B", Dec-Jan a-b-c of C) off the July low, and we are now in a new 5-wave drop.

If that is the case, the best bet for a rally would be the wave 2 (I believe that will be CSCO's ramp) and wave 4 (March options ex?).

We'll see. It's interesting to look at all the possibilities either way.
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