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Biotech / Medical : InterMune (nasdaq)ITMN

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To: Michael Young who wrote (351)1/25/2003 4:17:09 PM
From: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL   of 508
 
Hi Mike,

"The actimmune extension data suggest the drug provides minimal, at best, help against IPF."

Data from the extension was uniformly negative (as best I can tell). The case for using Actimmune in IPF was weakened statistically by this additional data. But it does not follow that, "...the drug provides minimal, at best, help against IPF". If we were left to the extension data ALONE we would conclude not that the drug provided minimal help but rather that it was worse than placebo - it was NO HELP at all.

However, we have the data from the 48 weeks plus the extension period. When both are viewed together there is a 49% mortality improvement in the mild to moderate subset with a P=.02. That would be good enough for me if I were treating someone with mild to moderate IPF.

ij
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