<The troops likely to remain loyal to Saddam > I don't have any doubts that Saddam will fold in no time, max seven days. Loyalty in Iraqi terms is to power, squandering of resources of Iraq on select few and mutilation of the hopes of most by the bourgeoisie Bathists. Iraqi regime epitomize Nazi State where people have no choice or voice, Saddam, Stalin and Hitler are breed of psychopaths who make their way to the pinnacle of power by deceit and callous elimination of opponents. People have been bulldozed by strongest measures, state security apparatus makes sure that compliance and loyalty is total. So far dictators like Saddam had field day as they represented continuity and vacuum fillers in a very sensitive region. 911 changed many a things one that definitely has changed is the concept of security and grand design about eliminating pockets of uncertainty. Much as it is said that it is all about 'oil' I still think it is about a compromise and sea change of attitude where new balance of power philosophy has been intertwined with the concept of new order in Middle East. I am in Kuwait and writing this form Kuwait, although nation building is not something that Bush ever thought that he would be engaged in, however it is by default. Like Pax Britannica and Pax Romana, the new cyber based Pax Americana has now not only to carry the stick but sometime use it too. Empires are build today on economic influence and here we are going through one of the most astonishing change of strategic direction and evolution a new grand design where America has gone pro-active, it may shock some doves but with global expanse comes responsibilities too.. I for one believe in removal of scourges from pinnacle of power if they represent threat to mankind or region at large. Like Kabul, Baghdad will fall, there will be no street battles with the exception of his cronies the presidential guards who may defend him, but at price they will sell him. I will ere on the side of caution and think that Saddam will fall when US forces will start action, the run from Kuwait to outskirts of Baghdad will be straight. Who knows may Iraqi ordinary divisions may not join the invasion to over throw him like what happened in Afghanistan, the very warlords who defended Talebin deserted them in no time. My views have not changed since this post..
Regards..
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