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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 342.47+1.6%Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (8223)1/27/2003 11:54:36 AM
From: Kayaker  Read Replies (2) of 95738
 
RtS, VIX near 40 accompanied a temporary Naz bottom last March

If there are no major external events, it makes sense to me that extremes in the sentiment indicators are likely a good time to buy (or sell). But when there is a major external event looming (eg. war with Iraq), I no longer trust the indicators. A more extreme example: Imagine if North Korea invaded South Korea tomorrow morning. The sentiment indicators would be at record highs/lows but I don't think it would be time to buy (at least not until most of the dust had settled).
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