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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 330.35+0.5%Jan 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (8240)1/28/2003 9:29:35 AM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) of 95708
 
Hi G,

This is a very important observation.

As this market retests some stocks are already in stronger accumulation modes.

The fear induced selling will occur with less volume.

Some still will washout - but others will resist - these are the stocks to look for.

Those the resist the best will be the next leaders.

This is what a positive divergence is all about.

Perhaps one of the best classic divergences was tech in 1998.Intc bottomed in July dipped in October - but in general resisted the market low of October 1998.

This retest hopefully will occur on less volume and perhaps even more severe psychological readings: Put/Call,bpcompq,bull vs bear,MYSEvolume/Naz volume and Vix.

Times are getting very close for a nice rally to light up in the next 15-45 days .

JMHO

This thread is really churning an excellent collective effort.It is a must read for me throughout the day.

Thanks to all for the great input.

Bob

P.S. Nice oversold bounce this A.M. - any body trust it??

Or will this nervous market cool off just before the state of the union speech tonoight???ggg

Bob
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