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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 337.35-1.5%4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (8278)1/29/2003 12:24:44 AM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 95738
 
On what Lizzie had to say. Actually I do agree with both her and Gottfried that the bear market is likely to end in more of a whimper than a big volume downside blow off. That was not always my belief but I for one am always willing to listen and learn.

This bear market has just been going on so long now that far too many people are hardly trading at all. Where is the volume supposed to come from if the retail trader has already been wiped out or stepped to the sidelines. As for a VIX over 100? In these times when the threat of war is so heavy on the market that the VIX has already traded well over 50 several times and back down much lower as well... VIX over 100???


What if you did an integral of VIX? Calculate its average over a long period then do a running integral? A low vix over many days might equal a high vix in a single day? I think this is what is missing but we'd need data for it going back to 1973.
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