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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

SOXX 348.14

+3.2%

4:00 PM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (8339)	2/1/2003 10:39:26 AM
From: Return to Sender	Read Replies (1) of 95748

Gottfried and all. I'm going to suggest again that we all try to get on the same page. It will pay off in the long run if we do. Whatever good information Hulbert shares in his newsletter his data on investor sentiment (or Barrons for that matter) is meaningless to me because we cannot see it on a chart to follow its effect on the market. We can do that the the newsletter writer sentiment here: vtoreport.com Page down to see the effect of overly bullish reading like we have now. Quite simply the market is likely to fall until we get another cross over showing more bears than bulls on a percentage basis. Ideally we would like to see 55% bears to announce the absolute bottom but just like bpcomp not reaching 50% to announce a top the difference between bulls and bears never got to 29% to announce a top. Anyway, bottom line is that these charts will work though we can't always expect extreme enough ratings to announce tops and bottoms. The other investors sentiment readings if they are to be useful to us have to have a history of predicting market tops and bottoms within a couple of weeks like this newsletter writers intelligence report has done. Thanks for updating the chart Gottfried: home.attbi.com And thanks for getting a note through to Don. RtS

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