Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (28412)	2/4/2003 12:59:08 PM
From: Don Lloyd	Read Replies (2) of 74559

Ray, This discussion of immigration into Japan misses the mark by a mile. The real question that this article fails to address is: "why is it that the native Japanese fertility rate has dropped below replacement rate?" The answer, apparent to anyone who is more sensitive to the human condition than to the condition of his bank account is that Japan is terribly overcrowded, women of childbearing age largely see children as a terribly expensive and inconvenient burden, and further overcrowding the islands is hardly sane.... This is absurd nonsense. Every developed country in the world is trending toward below replacement rate fertility. It has nothing to do with Japan being overcrowded, or in economic distress. The correlation, with no claims about causation, is entirely in the opposite direction, i.e. the wealthier, healthier and more educated a population, the lower the fertility rate, generally speaking. Regards, Don

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