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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: Bill/WA who wrote (218984)2/5/2003 2:21:20 PM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
Bill:

This is a story that is being repeated right across the country on a daily basis. It is also the basis for my belief that investors who think the consumer can carry the economy today are going to be wasted.

As noted earlier, an economy responds to a linear lay-off curve in a logarithmic way. At first, the lay-offs are more or less ignored, but as they continue, the public becomes very fearful and simply cuts back on discretionary spending. We are well past the "cross-over" point on these two curves.

Best, Earlie
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