DON'T START THE WAR Message Board

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Politics : DON'T START THE WAR

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To: PartyTime who wrote (5561)	2/5/2003 4:11:47 PM
From: LPS5	Read Replies (1) of 25898

I understand, I make a lot of mistakes too. (Jeez, do I make a lot of mistakes...) At any rate, I don't think that - in a random, constantly shifting world of numerous self-interested actors seeking markedly disparate goals - our impending actions will necessarily set into motion the same kind of tinderbox. But they might. They certainly could. And so - a la Lorentz, Minsky and others - might the flapping of a butterfly's wings in China cause a hurricane in the Caribbean; is that reason to kill all butterflies and/or not enjoy the Caribbean? In fact, if we were to get into a nuclear exchange with North Korea, one might justly trace the root cause back to September 11th, as circuitous a route as that might be. Or back to Desert Storm, in 1991. Or back to the Korean War, or back to Balfour in 1948. Or back to World War I and the lines drawn when the Ottoman Empire collapsed. A fundamental tool of political expedience is choosing arbitrary starting points as a basis for causality. Again: what's your point? That the mere existence of remote possibilities justifies inaction? LPS5

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