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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: paul_philp who wrote (71674)2/5/2003 11:35:23 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (5) of 281500
 
I think you're getting out ahead of the issues here, Paul. What you see happening is important but I don't think it's where the big game is going to get played over the next several weeks. It's with the opinion polls and the leverage they offer to the Bush folk (or don't offer). I don't doubt Powell's presentation today will give them a pop. But the real issue will be whether it sticks and just how deep it goes. Best we can tell, before the Powell speech, they were very volatile and thus read as quite shallow. My own guess is they will remain shallow perhaps even through a favorable UNSC decision. And we won't know about the depth until some inevitable bad news comes rolling back from Iraq. News bad enough to test the depth.

Too many folk still think this will be Grenada heavy. But are wary at the same time.
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