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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: JohnM who wrote (72008)	2/7/2003 4:38:53 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (3) of 281500

I watched Richard Holbrook on "Charlie Rose" tonight. He made some very good points. His UN analysis: 1) Germany is not a factor. They have no troops involved, no veto, and their PM has sawed off the limb behind him. 2) China will not veto. Not their style. 3) Russia will not veto. "Puty Put" has too much going with Bush. 4) The French will come around. They cannot afford to be left on the sidelines. Would really ruin their stature in the World. So Chirac will doublecross the Germans. 5) We may get a "Half Resolution." A resolution that states that Iraq is in breach of 1441. But does not say anything about using force. The Americans and the British will then announce we are going to use it. 6) After the war is over, nobody will remember all this maneuvering. 7) Washington is really concerned about Al Qaeda cells in this country starting something when the war starts. 8) Turkey's move yesterday to help us was worth more than all of the German and French maneuvering. We had to have them. They know we are the only good friend they have, and have to support us. 9) Powell is the best "Briefer" we have ever had as Secretary of State.

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