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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: quehubo who wrote (18000)2/8/2003 12:58:29 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) of 206184
 
Looks like about 165 for next AGA report and now the 30 plus degree days are kicking in.
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Bastardi says about 10 days worth of cold coming, so maybe a 200 draw (or more) for week 7? The weather for week 8 looks to be especially critical now.
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That puts us at 1156 with seven or eight drawdown weeks remaining. Even if got warm we'd still use over 60 per week, taking us to 700. More likely would be another 550 (about 70 per week: the 2001-2002 pace) taking us to around 600. I still think the evidence points to severe supply shortages, plus the lack of Canadian supplies, so I think we hit 650 EVEN WITH WARM WEATHER. Heaven help us if we keep getting this clipper AND a disruptive war. I think SR gets released next week to prime the system for war, if it hasn't been seeping out already. The market should interpret that as pretty desperate, but who knows? I just wonder what happens when Kirkuk and Mosel start burning. A general financial panic? Maybe so, as alot of people seem TOHOE oblivious to what's transpiring.
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