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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (72573)2/9/2003 5:51:47 AM
From: Sig  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
<<<I don't know what the solution is. I have ideas, but they are tentative and probably wrong. However, I am certain that the following solutions have no chance of working:>>>

A workable solution if there is any will be found more thru testing and trying as opposed to planning.Planning will change as various solutions are tried. Many said the A-bomb would not work, or would set the air on fire
Industrialized Christian nations and their institutions , embassies, have been attacked and are now so deeply threatened that its time to do something, and even the UN agrees.
They or we must first protect themselves from the most powerful threats. Bring forth much greater cooperation
between many states or nations in sharing information regarding Terrorists or war plans which permits
developing a defense. Identify the worst threat and find a proper solution.
Its rather like Jules Verne concept, one nation develops improved guns which makes another nation defensive armor useless, Then better armor is developed which makes the others guns useless. Back and forth
To create WMD's of global effectiveness takes money which is usually in the hands of government officials.. (Perhaps an Afgrican tribe could produce a lethal disease, but its more likely the developers would succumb to it rather than an enemy)
We seem to have two major threats, nuclear and biological. Chemical is lesser threat since its limited the area of release and does not destroy the use of the area as nuclear would.
Nuclear.
We have to trust somebody - some leaders- among the worlds leading nuclear powers to recognize the futility and danger of a nuclear confrontation or exchange.
I trust that agreements among them and the US (behind the scenes or outright) have been reached as to what a is a reasonable response to the launch of one or a few nuclear ICBM's in any direction, by an aggessor nation
On the Red phone - we identify a missile launch from site x in country Z - Are you tracking also?
Its headed your way. Shall we respond per plan A, or do you want to handle it? OK Its yours.We will expect a launch from your country in minutes to take out the launch facility. We have coordinates -do you need those?
Nada
So here the US comes into play with its widely dispersed tracking and defense installations ( and hopefully some ABM capability, even if its just the Patriot or the newer system)
If we cannot stop the proliferation of nuclear weapons, then an ABM system will be needed and I think
we are working on restarting the development
Biological: The are many historical examples to provide clues - The flue that decimated the natives in the Pacific and the military in WW1, Cholera in Panama, malaria, the plaque in the Dark Ages, or the potato rot in Ireland. Now Aides.
Mother nature has done a powerful job with those- but we survived. Can Terrorists do better- the capability
to make them can give a nation a threatening power ( IRAQ)-if they have an antidote, otherwise they could suffer severe self-inflicted casualties .
Our best defense in both cases is to have trusted or reasonable leaders of other Nations
Saddam is neither and the problem will be solved
Not too sure about France(g)
Sig
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