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Non-Tech : Raptor's Den

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To: velociraptor_ who wrote (7829)2/13/2003 9:34:32 AM
From: Rainier  Read Replies (1) of 10157
 
Actually, I'm beginning to come around to Prechter's idea that all systems (be they financial markets, governments, culture, etc.) created by humans are ultimately driven by shared mood trends. Thus, the issue isn't whether the market drives world events or vice versa, but that shifts in sentiment cause simultaneous changes throughout society. Expansion of PE ratios due to excessive optimism was what really drove the stock market bubble, not any sustainable earnings growth. This same optimism led us to buy into the whole peace dividend concept once the USSR fell (and thus divert money from military spending to social programs and contemplate national health care programs). Anyway, this has been far more eloquently explained by Prechter if anyone is interested.

Edit: Just saw that macavity and skinowski have made the same point. Hmm, maybe this theory is becoming too main-stream <g>. I have to admit, the desire of so many of us to have original takes on the market and being suspect if too many come to the same conclusions cracks me up!
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