Martin, after I discussed some Director processes and how portions of multimedia relate to MACR and IOM, "About 80% of this work is done with a Mac using Director, the multimedia authoring standard." (this was back on the IOM thread, if anybody is confused)
you had asked me:
Do you own MACR? What do you think of the company's prospects?
No I don't (but I own plenty of their products). I'm not particularly comfortable with the company's prospects, but has more to do with the shaky ground of the multimedia industry rather than any particular problems with MACR itself.
The traditional CD-ROM industry is quickly fading/transforming depending on which word you prefer. Most of the people I work with in the industry agree that it's headed into a web based market and this affects what will happen with Director's usage.
With CD-ROMs, you don't really author with anything else other than Director. That was a pretty good lock for MACR, but the web is utilizing so many other technologies that people are exploring other avenues to get things done. It would be naive to think that Shockwave (and therefore Director) will have as much 'web' grip as Director did with traditional CD-ROM authoring.
The industry is in some confusion...Red Herring, a respected technology/business magazine reported something like 90% of multimedia companies being in the red last year. I see the effects continually as more companies in this area (SF Bay Area) restructure/close. Over the past year and a half, companies that were seen to be among the strongest have diminished in the field -- Arnowitz Studios and ION here in Marin. Even my own previous company -- 'downsized'...no more offices, no more employees, no more equipment, but it's really just a downsizing according to the owner.
MACR is doing the right things with their products regarding internet implementation, but the market itself is still figuring out where it wants to go.
MACR may do just fine, but personally the risk is too much for me. I think I can do just as well with something safer. That's why I chose IOM. It, too, can be troublesome to those with heart conditions, but the market it caters to is more solid.
When comparing two stock issues, it is unfair to use only one time frame, or to use a few time frames close together. Thus, the following 100 Day, 6 month, 1 year, and 2.5 year comparisons explain why I chose an alternative to MACR. Of course, past performance is not a future indicator, but it does give me a little peace of mind when thinking about risk vs. return.
100 Day: magneticdiary.com 6 month: magneticdiary.com 1 year: magneticdiary.com 2.5 year: magneticdiary.com
MACR's other products are great...just like Director. Still, it doesn't mean much to me. Is Freehand making a serious inroad to Illustrator sales? I don't know, but every graphic firm I visit in the Bay Area loves their new copy of Illus 7.0 My choice to use Macromedia products but not the stock is merely for my own personal comfort. I'm worried enough about my industry, so any other headaches about stocks would put me under.
Good Luck to You -MrB |