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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (28745)2/13/2003 11:32:29 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
The Bust is already completed. The Bust is already priced in. Dollar devalued 21%. The 50 biggest stock exchanges have lost USD4.7 trillion on top of the USD9.8 trillion result of the bubble bursting. Gold already jumped from USD282 to USD372. Gold, the last refuge of the savings in panic, climbed 32%. Oil, war currency, jumped already 77% from USD19.10 to USD33.60. Oil can't climb more. Brent above USD35 for months will cause a wave of conservation and search for alternatives.
Now what, after Axis of Evil results are already priced in? Equities? Do you want to buy a share on the companies' debt to its soon to be pensioners? Or do you prefer to buy a share on the companies still with lots of goodwill write downs plus write downs of foreign investments propped by the bubble?

This thread should be thinking real hard on what is going to be the next 18 months.
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