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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: SilentZ who wrote (161177)	2/16/2003 1:49:23 PM
From: tejek	Read Replies (1) of 1575034

People tend to fight harder when they are protecting their homeland......and they usually are more familiar with the terrain and the infrastructure. That's what I meant by the hometown advantage. I just can't see us taking heavy casualties in a war against Iraq... the Iraqi army folded so easily in '91, and we're much stronger now, and they're much weaker. War is unpredictable......especially urban warfare. Look at the fighting in Chechnya. It was generally believed the Russians would be in and out very quickly. My biggest concern is what comes next... the whole "devil we know/ devil we don't" scenario... two of the likely successors to the Ba'ath regime are the Iran-backed Shiite Islamists and the Kurds... neither are particularly wonderful, peace-loving groups who would have more than an artificial obsequious cooperation with us. You're right........I'll be real curious to see the level of commitment we have after the fighting is over. My approach to the situation would be to make it clear to any regime replacing Saddam's that if they don't follow certain rules, we'll take them out too... never let them get enough room to run rogue. However, I'm not sure I trust the Bush administration (or any other administration, for that matter) to follow through with that... politicians and governments do not like to admit that they're wrong, and will not fix mistakes... we have a history of this. How long did we let Pinochet stay in power? The US usually experiences its biggest setbacks when it tries to dictate the affairs of other countries. A recent example is Germany and France. As for Bush, I am hoping that by 2004, he won't be a consideration. ted Just another reason I should be President ;) -Z

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