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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (75009)	2/17/2003 8:49:47 PM
From: Elsewhere	Read Replies (2) of 281500

At this point my prediction is that those American troops leaving Germany for the Gulf will not return to Germany. If they return to Europe at all, it will be to new bases in Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Bulgaria. I have no information on how many US troops left Germany for Iraq. I would be surprised if the forces dropped from the current 72,000 to below 50,000. With the NATO extension to the east some units are obviously no longer useful in Germany whereas others might even gain significance (airbases, special forces). In spite of the current heated atmosphere I don't believe there is a lasting damage in trans-Atlantic relations. In the 80ies the opposition to Reagan was maybe stronger than to Bush now, just remember the accidental recording of his microphone test / announcement that the bombing of the Soviet Union would start immediately. By now such episodes are nearly forgotten. We will have similar fond memories of current events.

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