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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (28286)2/18/2003 4:26:36 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (1) of 36161
 
Tokyo-JoeWille re: ["a USDollar move from 100 to 80 will bring about the following:

- 30% cut in Dow
- $100 to $150 rise in gold, minimum"]

...funny how none of the Mega-Gold Bull Web Sites and the "Gold is going -Too the Moon-Alice" Goldbuggers here are mentioning one little problem with the coming end of the USD ?

- that China has it's currency fixed to the USD.

A little complexity there my hairless friend.

...then there's Japan that also wants a weaker currency.

Then there's that little fact that not only is a lower dollar now part of US Policy and a positive for America ! ... and that the Euro-schmuro was orignally pegged at $1.17 only 4 years ago and where was GOLD then Tokyo-JW ?

Euro at $1.069 today... lots of room to run to $1.17 and that didn't drive Gold then, why now ?

Seems like the USD can obviously weaken considerably against the Euro from here and still be in "been there & done that" territory that didn't catapult Gold.

Was the USD at 115 a good short play ? - obviously.

Is the USD going lower ? - yes, obviously.

In the recent past, has the USD been significantly lower - without Gold being significantly higher ? - YES, QUITE OBVIOUSLY.

...then there's your "Staples Express-lane Cashier" statistical assessment; that a 20% contraction in the USD will = a 40%+ rise in Gold ?

You obviously pulled that one out of that gasseous black hole - called Uranus.

Lots of other Mega-Gold Bulls on record for saying that a 20% contraction in the USD will only raise gold a max 20% ?

...I guess your "Jim Willie versus the Volcano" B-Movie rehash of all the other 3 year old Mega-Gold Bull Web Site articles-end of the world Gloom & Doom tripe, is an attempt to self-elevate yourself above and beyond the the Gloomiest of the Doomers; to become the Doomerest of the Gloomiest ?

One clue:

Play the "game" and Race the "race" - that the Market is putting in front of us, right here - right now.

Let the Rain Delay play itself out...and we'll worry about the "rest of the race" - later, if indeed; there even is a "rest of the race"....as that is yet to be determined.

PS: GOLD Short update !

CEF leads the pack down today, under the $5 margin level...and still trying to swim against the current carrying all that "premium" around it's ankles (VBG) !

Ka-Ching.....will re-join y'all to play some more after dinner, tonight.

Don't overplay your "end of the USD hand" just yet Tokyo...China & Japan have a little say in it too, you know (vbg).
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