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Non-Tech : Raptor's Den

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To: velociraptor_ who wrote (8043)2/19/2003 1:03:56 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) of 10157
 
From Brian
I looked over on Raptor's web site tonight. Hadn't been there in a while - I used to get over there several times a week.

raptorgroupresearch.com

He has the Dow commentary and charts updated for tonight. I mentioned to Mish earlier today that one possible count for the S&P was a large expanded flat from January.

boards.fool.com

I was just imagining that in my head, but Raptor has it all laid out on his charts - and it looks very good. Its the first time I've seen a count for the mess of the last few weeks that accounts for everything. That doesn't mean it's definitely the correct count, but I think it's the best right now. I made a chart for myself for the next few days:

tinyurl.com

It's basically the same count Raptor has on the Dow. Raptor mentions that once we fall out of that red wave C channel the rally is done. Sounds good to me. Seems like these futures rallies are fooling less and less people, with the volume today and all.

I think I'll short spy's with the intention of holding for a few weeks when the spx gets up into the mid-860's or above (below a good stop above 875), or when the spx drops out of that wave C channel. The SPX might get above that critical 868 area before it's over, with two likely endpoints being 871 & 875. The SPX by no means must get up there to complete 5 waves, but it would fit nicely ratio-wise with either wave 1 or wave 3 of this wave C.

Is it any coisidence that Max pain is at 875 Mish? Nah!

70 points in 4 days - no problemo.

All the Best,
Brian
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