WAY OT GV, <OK, you've done pretty well establishing my point about things being different, how about citing some more of those similarities?>
We could debate over whether the glass of similarities is half-empty or half-full, but I'd ask why there's anything in the glass in the first place. The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Two things I'd like to point out, before we take this to the Unmodded AMD thread ;-)
<Back then we did indeed overestimate Iraqi resistance. We never heard the words "Republcian Guard" without them preceded by "elite". Today I don't think you can find one single analyst, or any informed individual that gives Iraq any chance at all.>
Some think the war will last for six months. A few even believe it'll last a year. No one believes Iraq will win, but everyone still overestimates how tough the war will be. Same thing happened in Afghanistan. Same thing happened in Kosovo. It's a phenomenon I've seen many times in my young life, and it's no different today.
<We were in a recession during the buildup to Desert Storm. We aren't now. We might go into one after this war begins, though. And that's a pretty significant difference.>
I thought the recession began in 2001. Most people would agree with me. That would coincide well with the recession back in 1990.
Of course, it all depends on what your definition of a "recession" is. Yours might be better than mine, but that's not what I see in the papers.
Tenchusatsu |
