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Politics : Foreign Policy Discussion Thread

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (4637)2/25/2003 9:19:08 AM
From: michael97123   of 15987
 
Hawk,
An alternate view--or a possibility for peace.

Saddam as mafia chieftan realizes Don "W" is indeed coming after him. What to do?
1. Fake out--Give up as much wmds as necessary to stop the assault and follow as much of #2 as possible.
2. a 180--Offer US a prominent role in rebuilding post-wmd iraq which will democratize--words only. Encourage US oil interests. End of sanctions. Iraq as model for the region in an economic sense.
3. Suicidal battle with US

Mafia chieftans dont commit suicide. Terrorists do. They deal even if in the short term. Saddams history pre-1990 doesnt suggest that he couldnt come to some type of accomodation with the US. His old buddy Putin may be the middleman in such a deal. Even if it is #1 that he selects(most likely if #3 is not inevitable) he is so neutered and perhaps so engaged in and economic road to power, that Bush might go along.
Without war the price of oil plummets and the stock market goes up. And of course there can be more focus on al quaida. Perhaps saddams intelligence forces can help there as he will be equally as unpopular with al quaida if he bends a knee. Mike@thinkingoutsidetheboxforamoment.com

PS Wars inevitability seems to preclude other options. 3-1 odds for war at mike@vegas.com
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