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Politics : DON'T START THE WAR

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To: Karen Lawrence who wrote (13220)2/26/2003 12:25:17 PM
From: zonder  Read Replies (2) of 25898
 
The figure's more like 80% but Turkey's government would not be able to say "No" to the US even if 100% of Turks opposed the war, because of the two reasons below:

(1) Turkey has a lot of debt and a lot of debt service. The country needs this money or it might not make it to the end of this year. Think Argentina. Think Brazil. The government really does not want that to happen on their watch.

(2) Turkey does not want a Kurdistan on its borders. It has had enough of its own Kurds fighting for independence (PKK, etc) and thinks the only way it can ensure a favourable outcome to itself is to enter Northern Iraq alongside US troops. (They already got the OK for this from the US)

(I have a chunk of money riding in Turkish t-bills and currency forwards, so I do take a rather strong daily interest in the economic situation and daily news of this country :-) And, oh yes, my bonds are rallying on this news...)
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