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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Short Candidates

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (421)2/28/2003 12:18:44 AM
From: tuck  Read Replies (2) of 897
 
Ralf,

I know better than to dismiss your suggestions, but MEDI's valuation is comparable to AMGN's. Parallel with Immunex buy, which seemed expensive to me, but they've been able to expand the label on Enbrel. Both their forward PEG ratios look reasonable. However, Enbrel is a proven winner and FluMist is not. Nor does the latter have much room for label expansion unless the FDA can be convinced the safety in younger and older patients is adequate. We know the FDA currently doesn't think so. FluEnsure from IDBE looks promising safety-wise, but the current formulation requires two doses for comparable efficacy, a disadvantage. And it's several years away.

I'd be willing to try it, but I'd be looking for an entry if it busts $30. Of course, waiting for a bounce on Vertex cost plenty. That was a good candidate. Maybe a half position around here, adding to it on unwarranted strength.

Anyone else have a take on MEDI?

Thanks & Cheers, Tuck
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