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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: energyplay who wrote (19346)3/1/2003 7:16:04 AM
From: quehubo  Read Replies (1) of 206307
 
<<One prediction that I would like to make is that as soon as prices start coming down below a certain level, or it appears inventories may be headed for normal level, I expect drilling to be cut back or postponed quickly. No one wants to get caught drilling heavily in a falling price environment. >>

EP - I remember Jim_P's weekly comments that the storage fills were improving showing the limited response we had in 2001. That was the clearest sign to exit and it should be one this time as well.

As a recognized hyper permabull here, my extreme thoughts at this time may be discounted a bit. I think at this point if the industry worked in overdrive from today, we would still enter next Winter with 2,300 - 2,500 bcf and production maybe a little better than todays. This ensures a massive problem next Winter unless we have another 100 year record warm one.

I dont worry about supply catching up to demand any time before Winter 2004/2005. As soon as supply improves and prices retreat demand will come back from oil.
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