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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: FaultLine who wrote (79391)	3/4/2003 12:43:41 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Saddam figures his best ally is the Anti-War movement. That is why he questioned Dan Rather so closely after his interview with him. My biggest fear is that Franks is planning "Grant takes Richmond." Typical Military. They are now going to have 300,000 troops in the area. Looks like Franks is planning "Mass and position" instead of "Speed and surprise." "New York Times." March 3, 2003 Reading Saddam's Mind By MICHAEL R. GORDON KUWAIT CITY ? Saddam Hussein's decision last week to move the Adnan Republican Guard division from its base near the northern city of Mosul toward central Iraq has provided the final clue. If attacked, the Iraqi leader does not plan to mount a determined defense of his borders. He plans to make his stand in Baghdad, playing the starring role in a drama that is designed to portray his regime as a victim holding out against an advancing American Army. It is as much a political strategy as a military one. The regime's political calculation is that it can use a prolonged siege of Baghdad to stir up opposition on the Arab street and in European capitals to the Bush administration's crusade to topple the Iraqi leader. Baghdad's residents, in effect, would be pawns in the game. Their plight would be exploited to elicit the world's sympathy and complicate United States efforts to take the city. Up to now, Iraq's approach has been to offer just enough cooperation with United Nations inspectors to gridlock the Security Council and to fortify popular opposition to a war in key nations like Turkey, which the Bush administration has sought to use to open a northern front. But even Mr. Hussein must understand that this strategy will not be enough to stop the administration from proceeding with its invasion plans. So the Iraqi leader is also trying to shape the end game. nytimes.com

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