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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: reaper who wrote (225163)3/4/2003 10:19:57 AM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
<I guess the operative word here is "jam">

Actually, if the deflationary scenario takes hold, even gradually falling long-term rates could effectively *raise* inflation-adjusted interest rates, if prices fall faster than interest rates. Right now, depending upon whom you ask, you might hear that real interest rates are negative. I believe that they are, from the perspective that I'm losing effective purchasing power by holding a treasury bond.

That's why I remain focused on holding short positions and gold - the former because this is the worst possible operating environment for corporate America (corporate equity is useless in a world awash in capacity), the latter because the smart money is figuring out what that nutcase Bernanke is talking about. I'm already having visions of what the run-for-cover to anti-paper will do to the prices of hard commodities.

BC
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