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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: tommycanuck who wrote (19622)3/4/2003 5:23:05 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (1) of 206092
 
Hi tc,
I really don't disagree with you here that there is a future problem brewing for O&G in general. I recall you brought a similar point up before and it is in the back of my mind. In responding to jim_p's post I was speaking from the premiss that the US trusts get an asset and deplete it, done deal whereas the CanRoys acquire as for example Acclaim's two recent acquisitions. If jim_p was being more general well yes, I missed the point.

As to the issue of future replenishment for CanRoy's well, the WSB is mature , and the recent results out east are beginning to disappoint having an effect for example PGF.UN (Pengrowth) writing down reserves. There has been much discussion on the stockhouse trust board re: RLI's and their lack of significance since these CanRoy's do replenish. Well as your post infers, that is not insignificant and that is illogical thinking I'd agree.

Nothing is buy and hold forever and we should all inform ourselves as best we can. If I'm coming across too bullish or I'm giving the impression that these trusts are riskless or an investment panacea, that is not my view, but they have been very good to me.

I've been accumulating these since the last NG bubble and was fortunate to roll a lot of PM profits into these back in December going overweight. Quite a few folks have asked me about these trusts since we have now NG fever and I have pointed out many times that my ACB's are lower, to in some cases, ridiculously lower compared to current prices and I have done only some very selective buying recently.

The trusts have had the luxury of buying cheap, quality reserves over the past few years but have little access to those anymore Can't argue that. The landscape is changing.

thanks
Kastel CCC
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