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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Bilow who wrote (79614)	3/5/2003 2:58:31 AM
From: Bill Ulrich	Read Replies (1) of 281500

The Malay and Northern Ireland examples of 20:1000 force ratio were extraordinarily determined antagonistic insurgencies. Are Baghdad's citizens that fond of the current regime? The occupation force in Japan at the very end of WWII was around 450,000 but dropped sharply to 200,000 within six months. Throughout the 6.5 year occupation, the troop count averaged slightly over 100,000. That for a population between 75-80 million in that time period. I don't see a 20:1000 force ratio applying to Iraq. Quinlivan may not either. <g> "Iraq has a population of 24 million. Using the 20 per 1000 ratio that Britain used in bringing Northern Ireland under control, the US will need an occupation force of 480,000."

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