Hi LindyBill; Re: "Carl, this is why you have been so woefully wrong for the last year on this Administrations capabilities and intentions."
I've been wrong on their intentions, but on their capabilities I've been spot on. A lot of pundits were saying that there was going to be an easy war with 50,000 soldiers back last year and they were the ones that were wrong (about the administration's capabilities).
The administration has access to very good intelligence. If the true scenario really were "Dancing Iraqis in the street with flowers", then their multitudinous predictions that the war would require only very small US forces would have been correct and the war would already have been fought and won. But they were wrong about that and for exactly the same reason that you are wrong about how the Iraqi population will respond to our invasion.
If "dancing in the streets" truly is the response to a US invasion, then how come so many thousands of troops are getting mobilized? All those reserves would be a waste of money if the Iraqi public is as supportive of a US led invasion as the Afghan public was.
It was easy to predict that the Afghans would be supportive of us, and the administration, (as well as me, who posted the prediction on SI), knew this in advance. So the administration ran an inexpensive war, simply supporting the locals. If the same sort of thing were possible with Iraq, the administration would have done the same thing. It didn't, therefore the Iraqi response is not expected, by the administration, to be similar to the Afghan response.
-- Carl |
