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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Neocon who wrote (79938)3/6/2003 3:16:40 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (4) of 281500
 
England is getting wobbly, looks more and more likely they are going to "go Turkish" on us. The Hawks keep on repeating their mantra: Everyone Will Get In Line If We Show Resolve. Ain't happenin'.

Here's the scenario:
1. Russia and France are now committed, clearly and publicly, to vetoing a green light from the UN SC. And the U.S. never had 9 votes there, anyway.
2. Blair can't go to war, without a UN SC resolution. He would lose a vote of confidence; he is already facing a big revolt within his own party.
3. as a face-saving gesture, Blair tells Bush: "give inspections another month, and then our soldiers will be at your side." But Bush is committed to war before then.
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