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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: michael97123 who wrote (80141)	3/7/2003 9:00:14 AM
From: Elsewhere	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Does anyone really believe the 500K number? I've seen estimates of that magnitude in several sources: - UN draft at CASI: "Likely Humanitarian Scenarios" casi.org.uk The core is an estimate of 100,000 direct war victims and 400,000 killed in the aftermath by epidemics and other turmoil. - Medact: "Collateral Damage: the health and environmental costs of war on Iraq - Report" medact.org Estimate range 50,000-260,000 in a conventional war. - Russian military analyst Vladimir Slipchenko as posted by E yesterday in #reply-18666519 - Medact's worst-case scenario of Saddam attacking US Forces with WMD and a subsequent nuclear retaliation is close to four million casualties. The "International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War" (IPPNW) distribute this study. ippnw.org

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