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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: paul_philp who wrote (81378)	3/11/2003 10:32:43 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (2) of 281500

The French et al. smell blood, they are not going to back off now when they see the prospect of doing real damage. Their strategy was from the beginning to split the British from the Americans by humbling Mr. Blair, to delay the inevitable full-scale attack into the Iraqi hot season, when the fighting would be more difficult and thus the casualties higher; to isolate the U.S. diplomatically; to galvanize the international peace movement against the Bush administration; and to improve Saddam's prospects for creating a catastrophe when war comes. The French betrayal is as total as it was surprising, after earnest promises from President Chirac to support the U.S. in return for elaborate concessions on U.N. Resolution 1441. They think they now have President Bush in a fox-trap: from which he cannot escape without chewing off a leg. They may be right: he may now have no choice but to chew off the British leg. But whether they are right or not, they will now reap the whirlwind. I would lay down large money that this summary is not far from President Bush's view of the affair.

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