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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (81395)	3/12/2003 12:10:25 AM
From: paul_philp	Read Replies (5) of 281500

It's late. I'm tired and feeling down but I am losing confidence in Bush very quickly. If he loses Blair, far from clear, he will lose my support. - Getting blind sided by France was a screw up. - Turkey was a fiasco. - Now, if Bush can't provide Blair enough political cover, it will be the mother of all screw ups. People love a winner and join, people hate a loser and quit. If Bush loses Blair, he will lose more support quickly. Steyn is right that the French were venile. Sullivan is right that Bush has an ambitious plan that naturally develops resistance. But ... He is POTUS. His job is to deliver and he is not delivering. He got outfoxed by France at the UN. That does not give me great confidence that he can handle the Kurds, Suuni and Shia in Iraq along with their friends in Turkey and Iran. I still remember cringing in pain when I read that first Condi Rice op-ed. This is the communication strategy? I knew it was horrible then and it has not gotten better yet. Bush is on the right side of the angels and France isn't even being serious. Bush should have them in a box but instead they have Tony Blair on the ropes. 90% of the game ahead is a diplomacy game and Bush needs to learn how to play that game well NOW. School is over. Time to deliver. He needs to turn momentum around before he attacks or the divide at home will be intolerable. Bush delivered a masteful speech at the UN on Sept 12. He needs to pull a rabbit out of the hat now. The Islamists are laughing. The UN playing Bush like a puppet. The people protesting in the street against their president and (from their perspective) support for Saddam. It just proves OBL's point that the West has no moral backbone. A decisive victory in Iraq is the right result to deliver but if he loses Blair, I fear that the psychological gain from that will be minimal. Time for Bush to Stand and Deliver. It is unaccetable to lose Blair and it will not stand. This is what I want to see from him. Until then the whingers and whiners about France being mean can wrap it in Pampers and throw it out. France is winning right now and that is not accetable. Paul

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