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Politics : DON'T START THE WAR

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (19969)3/12/2003 8:32:13 PM
From: Art Bechhoefer  Read Replies (1) of 25898
 
Whoa! Let's take a close look at what's happening in Turkey. The Prime Minister (newly elected) is stating the essence of the previous resolution passed by parliament--which is in effect the law of the land. He has left open the possibility of submitting another resolution to a parliament in which his party (the AK) is now in a stronger position than it was prior to the election. He is being very careful about watching the developments at the UN, in Iraq, etc. My guess would be that, barring a strong NO vote in the Security Council, Turkey will be on board and will allow U.S. troops to use bases in the southeast part of the country as a staging area. But Turkey probably will not act until it is clear that there is support in the UN. Also Turkey will not act until it has assurances in writing from the U.S. about compensating Turkey for losses. They're not dummies. Last time they got an oral promise from Bush senior, but he didn't follow through.

I believe that war is 95 percent inevitable now, accompanied by support from Turkey. It is a big mistake, but that probably won't be apparent until later.

Art
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