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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 76.85

+1.0%

3:59 PM EST

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (63227)	3/12/2003 8:36:38 PM
From: Stock Farmer	Read Replies (1) of 77400

My point mindmeld is that your retirement planning may be aggressive. 7% growth in equity prices would be reasonable if they started at a fair price, grew at 7% per year and thus doubled over the next 10 years. However, if they are over-priced by a factor of two, then every dollar you invest delivers 0% rate of return over the next decade. Which means if you are 66% stocks and 33% bonds that your bond portfolio has to deliver 21% returns. Which is junkier than junk. If you are 66% bonds and 33% stocks you still need 10.5% returns. Still junk. You've got lots of junk? John

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