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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Karen Lawrence who wrote (81683)3/13/2003 2:46:18 AM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
<Erdogan also did not succeed in winning assurances about Iraq's Turkmen population and Turkey's role in shaping a postwar Iraq, a Turkish official said.>

What they're saying here is, they won't participate unless we'll agree that Iraq will be partitioned into U.S. and Turkish "spheres of influence". Since the "Turkish zone of control" would contain the only part of Iraq with any democracy (the Kurdish area), the fact that we are even discussing it with them, makes a mockery of all our protestations about "preserving Iraqi sovereignty" and "building democracy" and "liberating" (the Kurds are going to feel very UnLiberated if the Turkish Army moves on them.)

By my count, there are 7 contenders to hold the ground in Kurdistan:

2 Kurdish groups, who have fought each other in the past, total 80,000 soldiers
armed Islamist/Al Queda enclave
Turkish army
Iranian army (possibly using proxies)
fragments of Iraqi army (once we've shattered the central command/control, each division will be independant)
U.S. army
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