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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 200.28-1.0%Dec 3 3:59 PM EST

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To: Techinvest who wrote (7745)7/30/1997 3:09:00 PM
From: Praveen K. Mandal   of 61433
 
Looking at the P/E is not a good indicator...
The P/E has to be normalized with growth rate.

So assume the following:
CSCO growth rate=30%,
COMS growth rate=25%,
ASND growth rate=40%

Assume next year's earnings forecasts as follows:
CSCO = $2.60
COMS = $3.00
ASND = $2.00

Finally, assume the following stock prices:
CSCO = $79/share
COMS = $56/share
ASND = $54/share

So the PEG ratio becomes as follows:
CSCO = 79 / 2.60 / 30 = 1.01
COMS = 56 / 3.00 / 25 = 0.74
ASND = 54 / 2.00 / 40 = 0.68

The lower the number the better...

Now, depending on which analyst you talk to, COMS growth ranges
between 20% and 30% and ASND's growth rate ranges between
30% and 50% ...

Based on these assumptions, ASND is the more undervalued stock
and hence the reason why I own it (I own COMS too)...

Enjoy and happy trading...

- praveen
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