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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Elsewhere who wrote (83282)	3/18/2003 12:47:00 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) of 281500

The more likely explanation for the rising support of President Bush is that the US administration has managed to create a sense of inevitability of the Iraq war and the American people are now rallying behind their government and the US Forces. A wise comment, Jochen. I think it's exactly right. The real test of US public opinion will come after the first or second time things go badly. I think the Bush folk are counting on that not happening. And perhaps it won't. No one should wish for it. But I've been struck by the number of generals on US television in the last several weeks who continue to say that nothing goes as planned in war. So one needs backups and backups to backups. Given the glowing optimism of the public statements of the Bush folk about the course of the invasion and post invasion "rebuilding," if the US public believes that, then its support can flee, quickly. And, not only have we seen little of serious plans for the "after the invasion" moment, but we have seen none of the backups and backups to backups. Whatever happens, one of the many things the Bush administration did wrong in this buildup period is not prepare the American public well. We'll just have to wait and see.

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