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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Condor who wrote (83686)3/19/2003 1:21:06 PM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
It is exactly this reason IMO that small portable nuclear weapons will be the "soup de jour" in the military evolution of countries that feel themselves in peril. Warfare/Defence is definitely going to change. North Korea is probably on the leading edge, but early evolutionary stages, of this paradigm shift.


Condor,

Hey, we agree about something almost totally. Thought it was worth noting.

I think the paradigm shift is actually towards non-state organizations becoming armed with very dangerous and very flexible weapons. One of the key trends I watch is 'The Empowerment of Anger'.

One of the unintended consequence of the containment policy of Saddam is that he develop many methods for hiding the development of nuclear weapon development. We can spot the potential reprocessing plants in North Korea and Iran with sattelites today. However, when Saddam's methods are revealed, I am afraid a new generation of difficult to detect bomb making will start. The process seems unavoidable and difficult to stop.

Paul
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