I did not delve into military logistics and political depth
but I believe Kurdistan will be the BIG BIG MESS
they were not gassed by Saddam in the 1990's
they were gassed by Iran
Iraq uses mustard gas on battlefield
Iran uses cyanide gas
the dead Kurds were killed by cyanide
Americans (in their infinite shallowness) never investigated
they accept blindly the thin self-serving reports
Saddam is a bad man, but he didnt gas anyone in battle
Kurdistan contains oil-rich Kirkuk region
Turkey does not want the Kurds to hold this city or own this oil
there are at least three shades of Kurds
Turkey has complicated the war, raising the risks to extreme
this Kirkuk oil could finance a Kurdish independence movement against both Iraq and Turkey
is America ready to intervene and mediate this dispute?
I BELIEVE OUR UNWILLINGNESS TO SUPPRESS THE KURDS IS THE PRIMARY REASON WHY TURKEY DID NOT COOPERATE WITH US
I believe in time we will back the Kurds, not know which flavor of Kurds are in control, and work toward a confrontation with Turkey
again, our cultural ignorance will work against us, making the situation more dangerous
the first several days will go easily, with many surrenders, many cheering crowds from Basra
but few Americans realize that Basra has been tortured by Saddam
USForces suffered 100,000 cases of Gulf War Syndrome, with mysterious maladies
Basra region residents suffered 10x the maladies, and cases
of course, primarily Shi'ite Basrans will cheer US Forces
the Iraqi BombMaker (turned friend) informs us of the magnitude of health problems and physical deformities plaguing the Basrans
the military logistic trouble comes with taking Baghdad by force from a single direction, SOUTH
the city is bigger and more sprawling than Metro Boston
then comes the Kurdish oil region, and Turkey
the mess comes in several weeks
enjoy the stock rally while you can
I believe oil prices will shoot right back up before long
Kuwait City has been hit by a couple SCUD missiles
and more might hit soon
but as our forces march north 350 miles to Baghdad, the missile locations will be taken over
lastly, Saddam has lit up several oil field rigs and operations
he has lit primarily Gas-Oil-Separation-Plants
for those who dont know shit about oil, Arab oil comes in particularly toxic form
their oil is full of hydrogen sulfide, very poisonous
it is called "sour gas"
oil workers must use gasmasks in order not to die
the burning of the GOSP plants raises both the health risk and environmental risks
let loose the dogs of war, Mr Idiot Prince
you were pre-empted, but proceeded
now you are in no position to conduct this war to a fully successful end
/ jim |
