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Pastimes : 2003 NCAA College Basketball March Madness
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To: Jeffrey S. Mitchell who wrote (138)3/23/2003 1:52:57 PM
From: Buckey  Read Replies (2) of 278
 
I have found that after 15 years of playing these pools that the risk of picking upsets is too great thus I stay the course with the Favs. One year in our office pool - 400 entrants the winner picked the fav right through to the end without exception and came first. Sometimes I pick a 9 over an 8 and a 5 over a 4 but I rarely stray from that course unless I have more than one pick in a given pool. even in years of a lot of upsets I do well.

Also I dont follow the sport that closely so I cant make intelligent upset picks anyway LOL

Example - say one 10 pick wins every year - so you pick one - well you only have a 25% chance of nailing it thus being 4-0 in those 4 picks but a 75% chance of bieng 2-2. Funny thing is that this pool picking strategy is not typical of my trading and investment strategies which are long shots and as a result I dont trade much anymore LOL and have started to change my investment strategies
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