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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: FaultLine who wrote (85365)	3/23/2003 9:45:28 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (3) of 281500

and you are exactly correct. I have a habit of being overly optimistic. You're being far too nice to Carl, who shows up pontificating as ever without even admitting that he's been totally wrong about the Bush administration and Iraq for the last year. Carl spent the year predicting there would be no war, why should you take him as an expert now? I don't even know how wrong predictions of organized resistance collapsing are. Two or three days was too optimistic, since it takes that long just to get to Bagdad, but what resistance is being offered and how organized is it? Neither I nor you (as I recall) ever predicted there would be no resistance. In fact, I predicted pockets of fierce resistance from men who were deeply implicated in the Saddam regime. The question is, what do the others do - surrender immediately? surrender after enough of a fight to preserve their honor? or really fight? I can't tell the answer from the reports we have seen so far. Remember, the press did this in Afghanistan too -- oh no, Kabul hasn't fallen and it's been two whole weeks already, it's a quagmire! Wars don't run on Internet time, no matter how much air time the cable channels need to fill.

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