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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (87272)	3/28/2003 11:34:20 AM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (2) of 281500

Iran is betting that it is not going to happen before Bush is out and the next admin will not fallow on Bush's footsteps. An odd bet. I certainly wouldn't make it. Most of the ways this invasion can go only increase Bush's support. If it goes quickly from here, that certainly does; but if it takes a rather long time, I suspect the demons of war will take over and Joshua Marshall's argument that chaos plays into the hands of the "change the ME through force" argument. If this invasion of Iraq is as pivotal a moment as a lot of supporters claim it to be, it will take a Dem ex-military type to slow down the imperial passion now growing. John Kerry or Wes Clark come to mind. But it's a very long leap from here to there. At least as long as from the end of the the first Gulf War and Clinton's election. And no one, not even Clinton, thought he had a chance at this point in that war.

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