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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Dayuhan who wrote (87556)3/29/2003 2:50:52 AM
From: JustTradeEm  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
This item struck me:

…nothing short of the actual outcome of the war will settle whether waging it was a good idea.


"The existence of two mutually exclusive courses of action does not mean that one of those courses is the right one and the other the wrong one. We cannot say that because course A had a positive outcome, course B would necessarily have had a negative outcome, or vice versa.

The outcome, good or bad, will doubtless teach many lessons, but nobody who respects clear thought will be able to use it to prove anything about the hypothetical consequences of traveling the road not taken. I’m sure that many people will try to use it that way - clear thought is not exactly fashionable these days - but that use will be essentially invalid, wherever it crops up."

I've not read the article yet Steven but was the author setting up an either / or proposition ?

Your clip from the article doesn't state that.

It does say that the outcome of one solitary decision can only be evaluated for success after the fact. It says nothing about the unlimited alternatives to that decision.

The point of the author based on your snippet is valid; as is yours. Seems you're arguing a point he wasn't attempting to make though.

What am I missing ?

JB
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