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Politics : Support the French! Viva Democracy!
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To: epicure who wrote (526)3/30/2003 9:19:35 PM
From: Lane3  Read Replies (1) of 7832
 
I suppose the win is supposed to be that we bring democracy to the people of Iraq, that Iraq manages to not turn into Yugoslavia, that the example facilitates modernization throughout the region and throughout Islam, and that the oil keeps flowing.

If there were a reasonable probability that that could come to pass, I might be for the war, too. The problem is that the odds are verging on impossible.

We've decided that if it is possible for our government to withdraw and declare victory and save face, without trying to subdue Baghdad, that will probably be a "win".

I don't see how you can find a win in that.

Seems to me that the best we can reasonably hope for is that we win the battle fairly quickly without pissing anyone off any more than we already have, that the Iraqis end up better off than they are now, that the region doesn't erupt, that other countries don't follow our example, and that we exhaust our over-supply of hubris and never do this again. If that should come to pass, I would consider that we've dodged a bullet.
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