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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 56.71+0.4%Dec 24 12:59 PM EST

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To: Biomaven who wrote (8094)4/1/2003 2:17:08 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (2) of 52153
 
<This outbreak is extremely worrying>

...cases leapt from nearly 500 to 1,323 this week
largely because Chinese health authorities officially increased their count
--The infection rate may be very low compared to
typical common colds. And if it depends on the
presence of a second virus--that has to hamstring it.

Maybe it'll peak in a month, then fade away as we head
into nortern hemisphere summer. Or maybe the thing
mutates and attenuates.

fwiw...mortality rates for the 1918 flu pandemic
were very high--at 2.5%, and up to five percent
in India.
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